A Refresher on Regression Analysis: Retaining New Foster Parents in Child Placement Agencies

Takkeem Morgan
3 min readJun 17, 2023

Introduction:

In the field of Analytics and Data Science, regression analysis is a valuable tool for understanding relationships between variables and making data-driven decisions. This blog will provide a refresher on regression analysis using the example of retaining new foster parents within a licensed child placement agency. We will explore how independent variables, such as CANS scores of 1st and 2nd placements, as well as satisfaction and appreciation levels, can be used to predict the retention of foster parents.

Understanding Regression Analysis:

Regression analysis helps identify which factors have a significant impact on a dependent variable, and how these factors interact with each other. In this case, the dependent variable is the retention of new foster parents. By analyzing independent variables like CANS scores and satisfaction levels, we can determine their influence on the likelihood of foster parent retention.

The Process:

To conduct a regression analysis, data on the variables in question needs to be gathered. In this scenario, monthly data on foster parent retention, CANS scores of 1st and 2nd placements, and satisfaction and appreciation levels would be collected. This data is then plotted on a scatterplot chart, with foster parent retention as the dependent variable and the independent variables on the x-axis.

Drawing the Regression Line:

The regression line is the line that best fits the data and represents the relationship between the independent and dependent variables. Through statistical programs like SPSS, STATA, or Excel, the regression line is drawn to show the trend and slope of the relationship. The resulting formula provides insights into the impact of independent variables on the dependent variable.

Interpreting the Results:

The regression analysis will provide a formula, such as y = 200 + 5x, where y represents foster parent retention and x represents the independent variables. In this case, the formula suggests that a one-unit increase in the independent variables is associated with a five-unit increase in foster parent retention. However, it’s important to consider the error term, which indicates the uncertainty of the regression line’s predictions.

Utilizing Regression Analysis in Decision Making:

Regression analysis helps organizations make informed decisions. In the example of retaining foster parents, agencies can use regression analysis to understand which factors have the most significant impact on retention. This information can guide strategies and interventions aimed at improving foster parent satisfaction and overall retention rates.

Cautions and Considerations:

While regression analysis is a powerful tool, it’s important to remember that correlation does not imply causation. The analysis may reveal relationships between variables, but it’s essential to investigate the underlying causes and mechanisms through real-world observations and studies. Additionally, it’s crucial to define the scope of the analysis and focus on relevant independent variables. Data quality and understanding the limitations of the analysis are also essential to ensure accurate results.

Conclusion:

Regression analysis is a valuable technique in Analytics and Data Science, allowing organizations to understand the relationships between variables and make informed decisions. By applying regression analysis to the example of retaining foster parents in child placement agencies, we can identify the factors that significantly influence retention rates and develop strategies to enhance foster parent satisfaction and long-term commitment.

If you’re interested is exploring how a regression analysis can assist with your recruitment and retention efforts reach out to us. We would be happy to help.

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Takkeem Morgan

I am working to bring world class innovation and ingenuity into the child welfare ecosystem .